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 White paper on crime 2007 Part7/Chapter3/Section3 

Section 3  Trends in Repeat Offenses over Recent Years

  This section provides an overview of recent trends with repeat offenses.
  Fig. 7-3-3-1 shows the changes over the last thirty years in the distribution of recorded convictions by type of offense using the One Million Recorded Convictions and in order to reveal the most prevalent offense each year.

Fig. 7-3-3-1  Trends in percent distribution of offenses in each year by frequency of conviction (1976-2005)

  From the viewpoint of the long term trend, offenders with one recorded conviction are the highest in proportion, accounting for 49% to 58%. And also, the proportion of those with one conviction has been gradually increasing since 1988.
  Fig. 7-3-3-2 shows the changes over the last thirty years in the distribution of offenses of each year using the One Million Non-Repeat and Repeat Offenders' Recorded Convictions. An attempt was made to determine the characteristics of the distribution of offenses (i.e., what the major offenses were) using offenses punished by custodial sentences and financial sanctions.

Fig. 7-3-3-2  Trends in percent distribution of recorded convictions by type of offense, for custodial sentences and financial sanctions (1976-2005)

  In regard to the long term trends with offenses resulting in custodial sentences (imprisonment with or without work, and misdemeanor imprisonment without work), theft was the highest, accounting for 31% to 37%, and then, in decreasing order, violations of the Stimulants Control Act, injury, fraud, and extortion. The proportions of theft, injury and fraud offenses remained relatively stable, but the proportion of violations of the Stimulants Control Act reveals a relatively large increase over the years.
  In regard to the trends with financial sanctions (fines or petty fines), injury has always accounted for the highest proportion, at 19% to 26%, while assault and violations of the Adult Entertainment Act have remained in relatively high positions. Most injury cases resulting in financial sanctions were heard in summary procedures and were relatively minor.
  In order to examine trends in recidivism by type of offense for which offenders were first convicted, follow up observations were made on offenders receiving their first conviction in 1985, 1990, 1995 and 2000 for the offenses specified in Fig. 7-3-3-3 and traced over five years (hereinafter referred to as the “Five Year Recidivism Rate”) based upon the One Million Non-Repeat and Repeat Offenders' Recorded Convictions.

Fig. 7-3-3-3  Trends in the Five Year Recidivism Rate by type of offense (1985, 1990, 1995 and 2000)

  In Fig. 7-3-3-3, the horizontal axis gives the years 1985, 1990, 1995 and 2000, while the vertical axis gives the Five Year Recidivism Rate for all offenses and by type of offense.
  Regarding the Five Year Recidivism Rate for offenders who received their first conviction, as a proportion of all offenses, it was at its lowest at 14.6% in 1990, 15.9% in 1995, 16.4% in 1985, and 18.5% in 2000 respectively. In regard to the Five Year Recidivism Rate for offenses, it was found that theft and violation of the Stimulants Control Act have remained at constantly high levels. A comparison of 1995 and 2000 reveals deterioration in the Five Year Recidivism Rate for extortion and fraud with an increasing rate for extortion of 6.6 points and fraud 4.8 points, respectively.
  Table 7-3-3-4 shows trends in the Five Year Recidivism Rate in the pertinent years by age group based upon the One Million Non-Repeat and Repeat Offenders' Recorded Convictions.

Fig. 7-3-3-4  Trends in the Five Year Recidivism Rate by age group

  In Fig. 7-3-3-4, the horizontal axis gives the age groups, while the vertical axis gives the Five Year Recidivism Rate in 1985, 1990, 1995 and 2000.
  The Five Year Recidivism Rate of the offenders receiving their first conviction in 2000 was higher than in other years for all age groups except offenders in their twenties. Special attention should also be paid to those in their forties as they show a noticeable tendency to have such an increase.
  As mentioned in Section 2 of this Chapter, multiple repeat offenders account for 0.8% of all repeat offenders but are responsible for 6.4% of all recorded offenses. Fig. 7-3-3-5 shows the trends in the recidivism rate of multiple repeat offenders by age group based upon the 500,000 Repeat Offenders' Criminal Records.

Fig. 7-3-3-5  Trends in recidivism rate of multiple repeat offenders by age group (1990-2005)

  Fig. 7-3-3-5 reveals that the rate for multiple offenders in their fifties and over has increased every year. In 1990, those in their forties at the time of trial were the majority (41.3%), with those in their fifties next (36.2%), followed by those in their thirties (11.1%). However, in 2005, those in their fifties at the time of trial became the majority (41.2%), with those in their sixties next (32.8%), followed by those in their forties (15.3%). It should be noted that the number o